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dimanche 3 janvier 2021

Why China is anti-fragile par Dan Blumenthal N°5065 15e année

 « Dan Blumenthal illustrates by negative example how utterly wrongheaded Washington's strategic approach has been.

American policymakers believe that China is fragile, and that external pressures will crack the regime and mitigate China’s challenge to American strategic dominance. Cutting off access to technology, hectoring allies to exclude Chinese tech companies from communications infrastructure, encirclement through the “Quad” alliance of the US, Japan, India, and Australia, sanctions over the treatment of Hong Kong or Xinjiang, and so forth will weaken or even collapse the Communist regime, according to the Washington Consensus. Dan Blumenthal, the director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, presents the consensus view in a new book that illustrates by negative example how utterly wrongheaded the consensus has been.

Blumenthal misses the trees for the forest, to invert a phrase; he has a sharp understanding of China’s historical fault lines, but ignores the singular accomplishments that make China a formidable rival.

Fate played a cruel trick on Blumenthal. His book went to the printer in April, late enough for the author to add an Afterword about the Covid-19 pandemic in China, but too soon to get the story right. Had the book gone to press only a few weeks later, the author might have avoided egregious errors that undercut the credibility of his thesis, namely that China is at imminent risk of collapse due to its “internal contradictions.”

La suite ci-dessous :


 Jean Vinatier

Seriatim 2021



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